Factor analysis

Potential DPs

1. Establish a firm base in the JOA.
2. Quickly establish a credible deterrent force.
3. Maintain sea denial.
4. Establish a viable defence prior to Zultarian attack.
5. Gain air superiority (defensive phase only).
6. Neutralize C2 systems (defensive phase only).
7. Defeat Zultarian forces in PANTERRIA (defensive phase only).
8. Zamboni insurgency commenced at higher level
9. Zultar forces mobilized
10. Casper sea oil fields captured by Zultar oil fields
11. CJTF in defensible position and deterrence posture established.
12. Sustainability achieved
13. Oil fields defended

DPs gathered from Strengths and weakenesses

• ISR deployed
• APOD and SPOD deployed
• Main body deployed
• LOC protected
• Zultarian forces deterred
• Liaison in place
• Sea lanes open
• pre-deployment completed
• regrouping completed
• ZU deterred
• Pete anointed Supreme Dictator of PA

Task Analysis

1. Formulate plans and procedures for receiving contributed forces and trans-ferring operational control to COMCJTF upon arrival in the Joint Opera-tional Area (JOA);
2. forces from contributing nations to ensure optimum combat effectiveness and maximize force protection;
3. Coordinate movements of forces into and out of the JOA;
4. Arrange for protection of strategic airlift and sealift assets while in the JO; and
5. Air Defense: Force protection of critical infrastructure and friendly forces
6. Land: Point defense of bridges along rivers
7. Sea: Establish presence IVO oilfields
8. Sea: deploy maritime forces ASAP to establish presence prior to 30 days mobilisation of Zultar
9. Land: be prepared to defend 3 lines of approach
10. Air and Land: ISR on 3 avenues of approach
11. Be prepared (for maritime):
12. Be prepared to conduct deception ops
13. Land: be prepared to defend 3 lines of approach
14. Air and Maritime: secure rexpective APOD and SPOD
15. Land: Point defense of bridges along rivers
16. Secure APOD and SPOD
17. Maintain ISR on 3 avenues of approach
18. Establish and maintain air superiority
19. deploy maritime forces before Zultar can mobilize
20. Pre-deployment cultural awareness training
21. Strategic IO campaign (including)
    1. Zamboni centric campaign
    2. Panterrian minority in Zultar
22. Establish common C2 structure with UN
23. Require PPP (presence, posture, protection) plan. Including ROEs
24. Establish maritime presence in Casper Oil fields
25. Establish liaison with Panterrian armed forces
26. Avoid collateral damage within Panterria
27. maintain freedom of action within Panterria
28. OPSEC (Step 3 JIPB)
29. ZU Freedom of movement (Step 3 JIPB)
30. IO (Step 3 JIPB)
31. Clear Mines from SPODS and SLOCS(Step 3 JIPB)
32. JAM ZU transmission in defence plan (Step 3 JIPB)

Essential tasks

• TBI

Capabilities

1. Sustain PA and own forces
2. Non-permissive entry (Sea and Air)
3. Quick deployment
4. ISTAR (Zamboni, En mobilization I&W, En C4)
5. Maintain SLOC
6. Air superiority (CDA, CAS, etc).

Risks

COALITION/PA

1. Lack of Resources (ie OIL)
2. ZU is numerically superior, therefore late arrival of coalition may result in an opposed ldg/deployment
3. APOD/SPOD are within range of ZU forces
4. Long COALITION/PA resupply chain, SUSTAINMENT
5. Zamboni uprisings
6. Jardinian Unity behind/in support of ZU
7. Terrain, mountains restrict maneuver and ISR
8. Mobilization time of Coalition Forces
9. Public Opinion
10. Risk of Mines in habours/strait
11. PA has extensive and developed ground transportation system (eg, bridges)

ZULTAR (ZU)

1. Retaliation in response to overt aggression
2. Randover is sole centre of power, centralized command
3. Zamboni uprisings
4. Terrain, mountains restrict maneuver and ISR
5. Public Opinion
6. Limited Road structure
7. Kolban straight
8. Panterria minority in Zultar