Evaluating the adversary.
De Octet.ca
Sommaire
Intent Analysis[modifier]
Strategic End State, Objective (Strat& Opnl)[modifier]
- Control of the Casper Sea
- Control of oil fields
- Zultar maintains international legitimacy
- Zultar preserves economic viability
- Randover in political control
Military endstate[modifier]
- Oil field seized and defendable
- Zultar protected from invasion
Military objective[modifier]
- Neutralized land forces around the Casper Sea
- Secure oil fields (intact)
- Sea lines of communication for the oil is still accessible
- Defend from PA navy
- Neutralize PA air force
- Prevent ACC from reinforcing Panterria
- Defend Zultar Boundaries
- Protect key infrastructure
- Protect Randover
- Maintain control of population.
- minimal losses to own forces
Criteria for success[modifier]
- PA South of Gull river under control.
- PA forces reduced
- CJTF prevented from deployed (APODs and SPODS)
- keep freedom of movement within Zultar
- President alive
- Favors quick and decisive battle
- minimizing collateral damages (maintaining international legitimacy)
Strengths & Weaknesses[modifier]
Strange Analysis[modifier]
click on link
Force and Space[modifier]
time and space[modifier]
- See oroginal maps here: [1]
Conclusions[modifier]
Zultar[modifier]
- 3 Rapid deployment brigades will be able to prevent Panterria forces to establish defensive positions
- They can provide early warning and ISTAR
- Can harass Panterria forces
- Can potentially seize the opil fields as long as they remain unopposed
- Although sustainment can be an issue
- 5 more Divs available after 34 days
Panterria[modifier]
- Bigger force on the ground than Zultar (2 : 1) except for the 3 rapid deployment Zultar bdes.
- More time to establish def posn (Lisieux and Villeneuve)
- Santana not as well prepared than the other 2
Modus Operandi[modifier]
- Land Centric operations
- Warsaw Pact doctrine Deductions:
- Pre-emptive strikes
- Combined Arms Opertaions
- Swift Movement
- Direct Approach
- Overwhelming force
- Conclusion
- Attritionist Approach
- Prefers a single point of entry
- Likely to launch first and will use surprise
Op Design[modifier]
LOO/DPs[modifier]
- Pre-condition: Diplomatic efforts have not worked
Initial Line of Operation - Prepare[modifier]
- ISR on PA
- Forces mobilized
- Training complete
- T & S MB Deployed
- Prep complete
- Targets selected
- Stockpiles ready
Line of Operation - Seize[modifier]
- Deny LOC in PA
- Degrade PA Military Capability
- Establish Sea Control
- Increase War Stocks
- Mobilize Reserves
- Establish Air Superiority over PA
Line of Operation - Neutralize[modifier]
- Deny use of APOD/SPOD
- Degrade PA/All C2
- Deny Use of SLOCs
- Deny All amphibious approaches
- Disrupt All cohesion
- Inflict sufficient All losses
- Limit deployment of All offensive capability
- Neutralize All strike capabilityhgf
Line of Operation - Dominate[modifier]
- Gain and Maintain Int legitimacy
- Maintain superior military capability
- Execute Defensive IOs
Line of Operation - Defend[modifier]
- Protect key infrastructure
- Protect leadership
- Protect/Defend Zu Territorial integrity
- Maintain air superiority over Zu
- Secure Capital
Objectives[modifier]
- Seize Oilfields
- Disrupt Alliance entry / Will & Cohesion
- Maintain superior military capability in the region
- Protect key infrastructure + key leaders & territory
Center of Gravity (Blue)[modifier]
- Western Military Forces
Center of Gravity (Red)[modifier]
- Robust Military Capability
End State[modifier]
- Control Casper Oil Field with no Coalition Interference
Tentative En COAs[modifier]
